7
Cristabel
4yo Filly · 8-8
Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Angers | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/11/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 31% | -0.38 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |