6

Flamingway

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

88%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Craon 29/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 12329/09C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 19/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f90y GS 129C0 @ Angers 02/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f194y Ver 1252/11C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 22/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1183 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 12331/033C0 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1313 @ Le Lion D'angers 07/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 1217/0533 @ Nantes 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m7f90y GS 1243 @ Nantes 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m2f86y Gd 13116/063projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-16Nantes31st2nd−1
2026-05-29Nantes31st2nd−1
2026-05-07Le Lion D'angers32nd3rd−1
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp?7th7th0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau34th5th−1
2025-11-22Fontainebleau?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0922/117/0516/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
19/10/20253rd15/261%85%+0.24
02/11/20254th9/488%70%-0.18
22/11/20259th9/153%38%-0.14
31/03/20264th10/147%80%+0.33
23/04/20267th9/276%54%-0.22
07/05/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
29/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
16/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11