1

Princesse D'amour

4yo Filly · 8-12

Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ ParisLongchamp 12/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12212/06C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 15/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 123C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12711/09C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1302 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12215/0323 @ Saint-Cloud 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1272 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1237/052C5 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 120C0 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12118/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06ParisLongchamp20
2026-08-18Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-06-08Angers?1st4th−3
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp25th5th0
2026-04-10Saint-Cloud31st2nd−1
2026-03-15Saint-Cloud212th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0621/107/0518/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
15/08/20255th13/266%73%+0.08
11/09/20252nd7/282%93%+0.11
21/10/20259th7/282%47%-0.35
15/03/202612th12/137%27%-0.10
10/04/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
07/05/20265th11/271%73%+0.02
08/06/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
18/08/20262nd5/287%93%+0.06