4
Step Morning
8yo Gelding · 8-11
Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |