The Good Man
9yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 109
Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-13 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 13/06/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |