2
Zarflight
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-03 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 13/10/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 02/11/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 29/11/2024 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 12/03/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 03/04/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 07/05/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |