14
Neel Ar Mor
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Craon · Prix Loxam - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-13 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-03 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |