IvyArcIvyArc
17

Nice Speed

3yo Colt · 0-0

Craon · Prix Loxam - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/12C?3 @ Vincennes 29/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 029/013C0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 08/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/02C?1 @ Vincennes 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/031C0 @ Vincennes 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/05C?1 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/061projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Vincennes18th8th0
2026-05-06Vincennes?7th7th0
2026-04-17Vincennes?0
2026-03-27Vincennes11st1st0
2026-02-22Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-02-08Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1222/025/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 14-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20255th40/10%64%+0.64
29/01/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
08/02/20264th7/163%75%+0.12
22/02/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
27/03/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
06/05/20267th11/142%57%+0.15
05/06/20268th13/266%42%-0.24