16
Noire Intense
3yo Filly · 0-0
Craon · Prix Loxam - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |