3
Notez Le
3yo Colt · 0-0
Craon · Prix Loxam - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-28 | Angers | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |