18
Ideal Du Rocher
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Craon · Prix Terideal - Attele · 2m 1f 87y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | La Gacilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 73% | -0.16 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 15/02/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |