14

Jazz In Montreux

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Craon · Prix Terideal - Attele · 2m 1f 87y

#5

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 10/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14310/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 23/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 023/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14313/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 128C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14311/01C?1 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1431 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14312/061projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Vincennes12nd2nd0
2026-06-03Laval?0
2026-01-25Vincennes13rd3rd0
2026-01-11Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-27Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-11-13Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0530/0911/0112/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 13-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength8%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
13/06/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
23/09/202510th66/10%31%+0.31
30/09/20252nd5/696%88%-0.08
13/11/20253rd11/271%78%+0.07
27/12/20256th7/163%67%+0.04
11/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
25/01/20263rd5/493%85%-0.09
12/06/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07