2

Haya Gold

3yo Colt · 9-2

Craon · Prix Pigeon Tp Loire Anjou (prix Yves Lalleman) Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 12815/05C5C5 @ Dieppe 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1286/06C5C5 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1289/07C53 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS1/0833 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS20/083C0 @ Saint-Cloud 31/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12431/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Saint-Cloud?11th11th0
2026-08-20Deauville35th3rd+2
2026-08-01Saint-Malo34th2nd+2
2026-07-09Dieppe?5th5th0
2026-06-06Dieppe?5th5th0
2026-05-15Saint-Cloud?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/056/069/071/0820/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20268th9/153%30%-0.23
06/06/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
09/07/20265th18/15%56%+0.50
01/08/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
20/08/20265th22/10%43%+0.43
31/08/202611th25/10%23%+0.23