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7

Kipchogua

3yo Filly · 8-12

Craon · Prix Pigeon Tp Loire Anjou (prix Yves Lalleman) Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#5

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 07/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1287/05C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1244/09C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers?7th7th0
2026-05-07Le Lion D'angers?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength67%

Delivery trend +33.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/202614th40/10%0%0.00
04/09/20267th66/10%33%+0.33