10
Malena
3yo Filly · 8-12
Craon · Prix Pigeon Tp Loire Anjou (prix Yves Lalleman) Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |