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5

Qerdie Des Roses

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Craon · Prix Pigeon Tp Loire Anjou (prix Yves Lalleman) Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chateaubriant 24/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 12324/05C5C5 @ Nantes 16/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12816/06C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1289/08C5C5 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12828/08C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2026-08-09Le Lion D'angers?3rd3rd0
2026-06-16Nantes?9th9th0
2026-05-24Chateaubriant?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0516/069/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
16/06/20269th80/10%38%+0.38
09/08/20263rd33/10%80%+0.80
28/08/20262nd7/163%91%+0.28