11
Mandragora Fleury
4yo Filly · 0-0
Craon · Prix Du Courrier De La Mayenne - Attele · 1m 5f 174y
#14
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 11-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 21/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 02/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/02/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/09/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |