14
Marie Di Leone
4yo Filly · 0-0
Craon · Prix Du Courrier De La Mayenne - Attele · 1m 5f 174y
#15
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |