3
Merveille Dab
4yo Filly · 0-0
Craon · Prix Du Courrier De La Mayenne - Attele · 1m 5f 174y
#12
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength31%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 58% | -0.15 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 10/12/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |