2
Astredargent
3yo Colt · 9-12
Craon · Prix Lesieur (prix Du Chene) Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.29 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 69% | -0.22 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 18/06/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |