5
Grey Reign
3yo Filly · 9-8
Craon · Prix Lesieur (prix Du Chene) Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/07/2026 | 13th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |