14
Johnny Drive
3yo Gelding · 8-9
Craon · Prix Lesieur (prix Du Chene) Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 07/05/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 8% | -0.52 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 03/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |