3

My Habitude

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Craon · Prix Lesieur (prix Du Chene) Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

44%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 12821/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 128C5 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1279/06C5C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 123C0 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 11810/08C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 123C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 13229/08C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 13011/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers?1st1st0
2026-08-10Clairefontaine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Dieppe?9th9th0
2026-06-09Compiegne?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0413/0729/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/04/202614th40/10%0%0.00
20/05/20267th66/10%0%0.00
09/06/202610th33/10%25%+0.25
13/07/20269th50/10%47%+0.47
10/08/20263rd20/10%80%+0.80
20/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
29/08/20265th3/184%50%-0.34
11/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39