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11

Padova

3yo Filly · 9-4

Craon · Prix Lesieur (prix Du Chene) Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#10

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1241/05C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12423/05C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 15/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y 12415/07C?C0 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 13018/08C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 13011/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?6th6th0
2026-08-18Deauville?4th4th0
2026-07-15La Teste De Buch?8th8th0
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat?6th6th0
2026-05-01Dax?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0523/0515/0718/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20267th18/15%54%+0.49
23/05/20266th18/15%58%+0.53
15/07/20268th10/382%0%-0.82
18/08/20264th18/15%79%+0.73
11/09/20266th9/276%62%-0.15