6
Rusair Fal
3yo Colt · 9-7
Craon · Prix Lesieur (prix Du Chene) Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 21/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |