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Annie Tips

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 67

Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability when eighth in 5f Cork maiden but last of 15 in maiden at Naas (6f, good to firm) 36 days ago. Cheekpieces now go on for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 1288/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 5f Goo 12814/08C8C8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12823/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Naas?15th15th0
2026-08-14Cork?8th8th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0714/0823/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20268th66/10%13%+0.13
14/08/20268th66/10%53%+0.53
23/08/202615th200/10%0%0.00