3
The Drambling Man
2yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 64
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | BHA62 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/07/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |