1
Ankara
4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 86
Down Royal · Coors Fillies Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA88 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/09/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 20/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/09/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |