2
Denim And Diamonds
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 84
Down Royal · Coors Fillies Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA85 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gowran Park | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | BHA86 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | BHA88 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 15/07/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 09/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 27/10/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 05/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |