5
Just Keep Flying
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 78
Down Royal · Coors Fillies Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA79 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA79 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Goodwood | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.46 |