8
Lady Plimsoll
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 72
Down Royal · Coors Fillies Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA70 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA70 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | BHA69 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |