9
Stellar Moment
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 79
Down Royal · Coors Fillies Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA78 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength91%
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |