6
Vanir
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 84
Down Royal · Coors Fillies Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA87 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA85 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -25.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |