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10

Shadowbelle

2yo Filly · 8-8

Down Royal · Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden · 7f 26y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

5,000 gns yearling, Dark Angel filly. Half-sister to winner up to 1½m Tremorgio and 2-y-o 7f winner Miss Honey. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Duneflower. 80/1 but offered something to work on in 6f Naas maiden on recent debut and closely matched with Leap of Light.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12817/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20267th80/10%70%+0.70