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5

Star Glory

2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 85

Down Royal · Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden · 7f 26y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved her Galway running all wrong back on a more conventional course when second of 16 in 7f Naas maiden last month, playing her hand after the winner and third had engaged each other for around 1f. Big shout for stable seeking third win in this in 5 years.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1254/05C8C8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f50y Goo 12816/07C8C8 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f Yie 1242/08C8C8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 81 · 7f Goo 125 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 81 par23/08C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Naas?2nd2nd0
2026-08-02Galway?5th5th0
2026-07-16Leopardstown?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Curragh?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0516/072/0823/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -8.7% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
16/07/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49
02/08/20265th3/184%56%-0.29
23/08/20262nd11/142%93%+0.51