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Caption This

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Down Royal · Madri Excepcional Maiden · 7f 26y

#10

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten in maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.5 /10 (raw 13.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Goo 13425/08C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1349/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?17th17th0
2026-08-25Bellewstown?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -29.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/202610th80/10%36%+0.36
09/09/202617th250/10%6%+0.06