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2

Daring Heart

3yo Colt · 9-8

Down Royal · Madri Excepcional Maiden · 7f 26y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Related to a couple of useful winners and having shaped well in a deep 7f Curragh maiden on debut in August 2025, continued his promising start when second, beaten just ½ length, in 15-runner 1m Leopardstown contest in May. Tongue tie goes on and can do better again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 13323/08C8C8 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m Gd 13415/05C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Leopardstown?2nd2nd0
2025-08-23Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0815/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength82%

Delivery trend -18.5% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20255th11/142%69%+0.27
15/05/20262nd3/184%93%+0.09