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9

Freddiesadienray

3yo Filly · 9-3

Down Royal · Madri Excepcional Maiden · 7f 26y

#9

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

€1,200 Coulsty filly. Half-sister to winner John Paul Jones and 1m winner Katie's Kitten. Dam 1m winner. 200/1, tongue tied and little encouragement in 7f Fairyhouse maiden on debut last week.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 15.0 /10 (raw 15.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 12921/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 13-18 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/202615th200/10%13%+0.13