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5

Monmouth

3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 74

Down Royal · Madri Excepcional Maiden · 7f 26y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

56%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left previous efforts behind fitted with cheekpieces after 11 weeks off having had the run of things when third in 7f Limerick maiden in June, splitting subsequent winners. Bred to do much better and one to note tried with stronger headgear.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 6f Hvy 13315/03C8C8 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f180y Hvy 13130/03C8C8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 13419/06C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Limerick?3rd3rd0
2026-03-30Navan?13th13th0
2026-03-15Curragh?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0330/0319/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +22.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20267th7/282%60%-0.22
30/03/202613th14/126%14%-0.12
19/06/20263rd15/261%83%+0.23