6
Monty Bear
3yo Gelding · 9-8
Down Royal · Madri Excepcional Maiden · 7f 26y
#7
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength21%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/12/2025 | 12th | 250/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |