3
Greek Flower
7yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 66
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap · 7f 26y
#13
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA66 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | BHA70 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA72 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA75 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | BHA75 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 14/09/2025 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 41% | +0.04 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.37 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 13% | -0.69 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 09/09/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 24% | -0.24 |