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Minaun View

4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap · 7f 26y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Registered a third claiming success of the summer at Gowran (1m) in August. Fair run in a Musselburgh handicap last time, proving typically headstrong. Work to do back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 63 par1/0763OR 63C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 63 · 7f195y Gd 137 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 63 parC7 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 63 · 1m40y Gd 137 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 63 par15/07C7OR 63C8 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 1m1f135y Goo 132 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 65 parBHA65 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 65 · 7f Yie 135 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 65 par1/0865OR 65C7 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 65 · 1m Goo 128 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 65 parBHA68 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 68 · 1m20y Goo 138 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 68 par27/0868OR 68C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 66 · 1m Yie 127 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m208y Goo 133 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 66 par12/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh56th6th0
2026-09-01Gowran Park?5th5th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA685th5th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?1st1st0
2026-08-01GalwayBHA657th7th0
2026-07-20Ballinrobe?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0720/0727/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20268th4/179%59%-0.20
03/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
15/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
20/07/20262nd6/594%88%-0.06
01/08/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
12/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
27/08/20265th11/271%67%-0.04
01/09/20265th6/492%43%-0.49
12/09/20266th15/261%44%-0.16