1
Send Harry
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 70
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap · 7f 26y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA66 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA68 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA73 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA74 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.37 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 52% | +0.05 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |