8
Una Matata
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 62
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap · 7f 26y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA64 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | BHA66 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA71 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA71 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 26/06/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |