IvyArcIvyArc
11

Annacroft

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 40

Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 3f 10y

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Little impact in varied events. Hayes takes the ride but she's hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f207y Sft 13020/06C8C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Gd 1373/07C8C8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13012/07C8BHA43 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 43 · 1m1f30y Goo 125 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 43 par15/0943OR 43projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15PunchestownBHA4313th13th0
2026-07-12Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?12th12th0
2026-06-20Down Royal?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/063/0712/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20269th66/10%0%0.00
03/07/202612th125/10%21%+0.21
12/07/20265th150/10%20%+0.20
15/09/202613th66/10%8%+0.08