4
Chloe's Boy
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 54
Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 3f 10y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Punchestown | BHA50 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA53 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA58 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 13th | 300/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |