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13

Idomything

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 40

Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 3f 10y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Bellewstown last autumn but hasn't fired this season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: BHA39
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 50 · 1m3f180y Hvy 126 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 50 par27/1050OR 50BHA50 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 128 · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 50 parBHA48 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 48 · 1m5f160y Sft 130 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 48 par22/0448OR 48BHA47 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 47 · 1m4f17y Yie 129 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 47 parBHA45 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 45 · 1m5f Goo 127 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 45 par7/0645OR 45BHA42 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 42 · 1m4f207y Sft 124 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 42 parBHA41 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 41 · 1m4f37y Gd 123 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 41 par3/0741OR 41BHA39 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 39 · 1m4f Yie 166 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 39 parBHA40 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 40 · 1m4f Sft 119 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 40 par8/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA408th8th0
2026-08-29CurraghBHA3910th10th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA4110th10th0
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA426th6th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA4513th13th0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA477th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1018/053/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/202511th14/126%41%+0.15
14/11/20258th18/15%42%+0.36
22/04/20268th50/10%42%+0.42
18/05/20267th14/126%60%+0.34
07/06/202613th33/10%20%+0.20
20/06/20266th25/10%62%+0.62
03/07/202610th28/10%40%+0.40
29/08/202610th250/10%50%+0.50
08/09/20268th10/147%50%+0.03