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6

Limestone Red

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 46

Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 3f 10y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Dundalk in January and has been in good heart of late from this much lower turf mark. One to note in the betting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA59 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 59 · 1m2f150y Std 141 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 59 par5/1159OR 59BHA60 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 60 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 59 · 1m2f150y Std 141 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 59 par13/0159OR 59BHA64 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 64 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 64 par20/0364OR 64BHA48 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 48 · 1m1f GF 130 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 48 parBHA47 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 47 · 1m3f103y Gd 129 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 47 par15/0747OR 47BHA48 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 48 · 1m4f Goo 132 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 48 parBHA47 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 47 · 1m4f194y Goo 129 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 47 par4/0947OR 47projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA475th5th0
2026-08-15TramoreBHA483rd3rd0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA472nd2nd0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA488th8th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA648th8th0
2026-02-13DundalkBHA644th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1113/0215/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20252nd13/266%91%+0.25
10/12/20255th5/287%64%-0.23
13/01/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
13/02/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
20/03/20268th6/168%42%-0.27
18/06/20268th7/163%50%-0.13
15/07/20262nd22/10%93%+0.93
15/08/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
04/09/20265th9/153%67%+0.14