10

The Monday Club

3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 48

Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 3f 10y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

40/1, failed to improve when 4½ lengths ninth of 14 to Chloe's Boy in handicap at Punchestown (9f, good) 13 days ago. Needs more up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f163y Yie 13422/06C8C0 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m GF 13124/07C?C8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1346/08C8BHA50 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m1f30y Goo 126 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 50 par15/0950OR 50projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15PunchestownBHA509th9th0
2026-08-06Leopardstown?14th14th0
2026-07-24Cork?5th5th0
2026-06-22Ballinrobe?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0624/076/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
24/07/20265th28/10%0%0.00
06/08/202614th150/10%0%0.00
15/09/20269th40/10%38%+0.38