2
Ballaghkeen
3yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 59
Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 3f 10y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA60 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Dundalk | BHA65 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Cork | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Punchestown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/09/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/10/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |